Formula One

This weekend is all about the Malaysia Grand Prix, but it’s also about the rules of unpredictability


What can happen in Malaysia? That question cannot be answered in reality. It is completely unpredictable. We still don’t know who will finish, and who won’t. We don’t know what upgrades teams will bring. But based on the history of the Malaysian GP and last week’s Australian GP, let’s take a look at what could happen from a 2014 point of view, and from a Malaysian GP point of view.

The first thing that comes to mind is rain. Not just rain. A monsoon. Malaysia is famous for mixing races up with its weather. In 2009, Malaysia planned a night race, but decided to go for a late-afternoon start instead. This was disastrous, as rainfall delayed the start. It got very late and there wasn’t enough light to continue the race. Only 33 laps were completed and teams were awarded half points.

Although it may seem that the chances of a safety car deployment are quite high, Malaysia is the only track which had 0 deployments in 10 races, so historically, the chances are very low. It was in fact deployed in 2009, however statistically, the race finished on lap 31, while the safety car was deployed on lap 32, shortly before the red flag. This year could be different if we get some rain. The cars have so much torque that the cars will simply slide out with no grip.

Read the full preview on Rach F1 here.

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